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Bayesian Agent-Based Population Studies

Transforming simulation models of human migration

International migration is one of the most uncertain components of population change and a top-priority area for policy. Our project aims to change the way in which migration can be understood, predicted, and managed by developing a ground-breaking computer simulation model of migration.




We are delighted to announce that the book summarising the project results so far, entitled "Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studie...


We are pleased to announced that the BAPS project has been granted a no-cost extension and is currently scheduled to finish on 31 May 2022 - exactly five years since we started.

In the final ...