Bayesian Agent-Based Population Studies

Book

Bijak J, Higham PA, Hilton J, Hinsch M, Nurse S, Prike T, Reinhardt O, Smith PWF, Uhrmacher AM, and Warnke T (2021) Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography. Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies. Methodos Series, vol. 17. Cham: Springer. ISBN: 978-3-030-83039-7. Available via DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-83039-7. [open access]

Journal articles

Wilsdorf P, Reinhardt O, Prike T, Hinsch M, Bijak J and Uhrmacher AM (2024) Simulation Studies of Social Systems – Telling the Story Based on Provenance. Royal Society Open Science, 11(8), 240258. DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240258. Preprint also available from TechRxiv (v.2.0, 28 April 2023). DOI: 10.36227/techrxiv.20209844.v2 [open access]

Modirrousta-Galian A, Prike T, Higham PA, Hinsch M, Nurse S, Belabbas S and Bijak J (2024) Exploring the Potential of Using a Text-Based Game to Inform Simulation Models of Risky Migration Decisions. Simulation & Gaming, 55(4), 716–735. DOI: 10.1177/10468781241242925 [open access]

Köster T, Reinhardt O, Hinsch M, Bijak J and Uhrmacher AM (2024) A Fast Embedded Language for Continuous-Time Agent-Based Simulation. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 27(1), art. 10. DOI: 10.18564/jasss.5232 [open access]

Hinsch M and Bijak J (2023) The effects of information on the formation of migration routes and the dynamics of migration. Artificial Life. 29(1), 3–20. DOI: 10.1162/artl_a_00388. [open access]

Wilsdorf P, Wolpers A, Hilton J, Haack F and Uhrmacher AM (2023) Automatic Reuse, Adaption, and Execution of Simulation Experiments via Provenance Patterns. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS). 33(1–2), art. 4, 1–27. DOI: 10.1145/3564928. [open access]

Belabbas S, Bijak J, Modirrousta-Galian A and Nurse S (2022) From Conflict Zones to Europe: Syrian and Afghan Refugees’ Journeys, Stories, and Strategies. Social Inclusion, 10(4), 211–221. DOI: 10.17645/si.v10i4.5731. [open access]

Prike T, Bijak J, Higham PA and Hilton J (2022) How Safe is this Trip? Judging Personal Safety in a Pandemic Based on Information from Different Sources. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 28(3), 509–524. Authors' accepted manuscript available from the link below, and the final version (C) APA is accessible via DOI: 10.1037/xap0000415. [open access]

Reinhardt O, Warnke T and Uhrmacher AM (2022) A Language for Agent-based Discrete-event Modeling and Simulation of Linked Lives. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS), 32(1), art. 6. DOI: 10.1145/3486634. [open access from this page]

Czaika M, Bijak J and Prike T (2021) Migration Decision-Making and Its Key Dimensions. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 697(1), 15–31. DOI: 10.1177/00027162211052233. [open access]

Reinhardt O, Hilton J, Warnke T, Bijak J and Uhrmacher A (2018) Streamlining simulation experiments with agent-based models in demography. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 21(3), art. 9. DOI: 10.18564/jasss.3784. [open access]

Bijak J (2018) "Model-Based Demography: Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory", by Thomas K Burch. Book review. Population Studies, 72(2), 275–277. DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2018.1436026. Author's accepted manuscript available from the link below.

Gray J, Hilton J and Bijak J (2017) Choosing the choice: Reflections on modelling decisions and behaviour in demographic agent-based models. Population Studies, 71(Suppl), S85–S97. DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2017.1350280 [open access].

Open Research Europe

Nurse S, Hinsch M and Bijak J (2023) Mapping secondary data gaps for social simulation modelling: A case study of Syrian asylum migration to Europe [Version 2: approved]. Open Research Europe, 3: 216. DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15583.2 [open access]

Bijak J, Modirrousta-Galian A, Higham P, Prike T, Hinsch M and Nurse S (2023) Investigating immersion and migration decisions for agent-based modelling: A cautionary tale. [Version 3: approved]. Open Research Europe, 3: 34. DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.15581.3 [open access]

Conference papers

Bijak J, Grow A, Higham PA, Hilton J, Hinsch M, Lipscombe K, Nurse S, Prike T, Reinhardt O, Smith PWF and Uhrmacher AM (2021) Teaching a Modeling Process: Reflections from an Online Course. In: S Kim, B Feng, K Smith, S Masoud, Z Zheng, C Szabo and M Loper (eds.) Proceedings of the Winter Simulation conference (WinterSim 2021), IEEE. Authors' accepted manuscript available from the link below, and the final version (C) IEEE is accessible via DOI: 10.1109/WSC52266.2021.9715415

Bijak J, Higham PA, Hilton J, Hinsch M, Nurse S, Prike T, Reinhardt O, Smith PWF and Uhrmacher AM (2020) Modelling Migration: Decisions, Processes and Outcomes. In: K-HG Bae, B Feng, S Kim, S Lazarova-Molnar, Z Zheng, T Roeder and R Thiesing (eds.) Proceedings of the Winter Simulation conference (WinterSim 2020), IEEE. Authors' accepted manuscript available from the link below, and the final version (C) IEEE is accessible via DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384072

Hinsch M and Bijak J (2019) Rumours lead to self-organized migration routes. Paper for the Agent-based Modelling Hub, Artificial Life conference, ALife 2019, available from the link below and via http://abmhub.cs.ucl.ac.uk/2019/

Reinhardt O, Hinsch M, Uhrmacher A and Bijak J (2019) Developing Agent-based Models in Pairs. In: N Mustafee, K-HG Bae, S Lazarova-Molnar, M Rabe, C Szabo, P Haas, and Y-J Son (eds.) Proceedings of the Winter Simulation conference (WinterSim 2019), IEEE. Authors' accepted manuscript available from the link below, and the final version (C) IEEE is accessible via DOI: 10.1109/WSC40007.2019.9004946

Miscellanea

Bijak J, Hinsch M, Nurse S, Prike T and Reinhardt O, ed. D Vono de Vilhena (2023) Managing Migration: What Can We Learn From Simulation Experiments? Population & Policy Compact, 41, Population Europe. Accessible via: https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-briefs/managing-migration-what-can-we-learn-simulation-experiments

Bijak J, Belabbas S and Modirrousta-Galian A (2023) Complex migrant journeys depend on four factors: knowledge, networks, life situation – and chance. PopDigest, Population Europe. Accessible via: https://population-europe.eu/research/popdigests/complex-migrant-journeys-depend-four-factors-knowledge-networks-life-situation

Bijak J, Hinsch M, Nurse S and Prike T (2020) Response to the Public Accounts Committee Call for evidence on Immigration Enforcement. Written Evidence IET0003. UK Parliament. Accessible via: https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/8527/pdf

Background papers

Bijak J and Bryant J (2016) Bayesian demography 250 years after Bayes. Population Studies, 70(1), 1–19. DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2015.1122826 [open access]

Courgeau D, Bijak J, Franck R and Silverman E (2016) Model-based demography: Towards a research agenda. In: J van Bavel and A Grow (eds.) Agent-Based Modelling in Population Studies - Concepts, Methods, and Applications. Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol. 41. Dordrecht: Springer (pp. 29–51). DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-32283-4_2

Hilton J and Bijak J (2016) Design and analysis of demographic simulations. In: J van Bavel and A Grow (eds.) Agent-Based Modelling in Population Studies - Concepts, Methods, and Applications. Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol. 41. Dordrecht: Springer (pp. 211–235). DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-32283-4_8